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Project C.1: Model Coordination
Project
Leader: Dr Stephen
Roxburgh (Bio
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Research objectives
- Develop & maintain
a software modelling shell within which a range of terrestrial carbon
models may be implemented (at spatial scales ranging from patch to continent)
- Use the software
above as a tool for improving knowledge of the Australian terrestrial
carbon cycle.
- Maintain a database
of best national-scale data, and to provide other data-related services
to CRC participants; and
- Maintain any "public
tools" provided by the CRC, including the development of a simplified
Australian carbon cycle for educational and public explanatory purposes
Strategy
Relevance
Modelling and data collection activities are
occurring throughout the CRC. This project seeks to maintain links and
coordination between these various efforts in the CRC through the development
of integrated modelling software and data-management tools, and through
communication of these resources to other CRC participants.
The development of data-management tools and
educational software will further contribute to the communication and
outreach activities of the CRC.
Outputs
- An integrating software shell for housing
a range of carbon cycle models, and use of this software for the quantification
of carbon stocks and fluxes across a range of spatial and temporal scales.
- A series of internal publications summarising
a range of CRC activities, including registers of research activities,
the various modelling approaches being adopted within the CRC, and the
collation and documentation of carbon-relevant data.
- Development of software for use in educational
and other outreach activities.
Outcomes
- Greater efficiency in developing inter-comparable
models leading to an enhanced modelling capacity for carbon accounting
in Australia.
Sub-project C.1.1 Model Integration
Our vision is to develop a software framework
within which a combination of models will be harnessed to provide best
estimates of Australias carbon stocks and fluxes, to support the
national greenhouse gas inventory, and to assess the impacts of climate
change on the terrestrial carbon cycle. Computer models of the terrestrial
carbon cycle applied at a range of spatial scales provide the mechanism
to integrate measurements of C pools and provide estimates of continental
carbon stocks and fluxes. These estimates will be for the past, present
and the future where the effects of global warming and CO2
fertilization will affect the national carbon cycle. Disturbances such
as fire will be included where possible.
We propose to develop and implement a tool
for facilitating the comparison and integration of the developing Australian
models, including those used in NCAS,
as well as some of the available international models. This tool, the
"Carbon Modelling Integration Shell" (COINS) is proposed to
provide the software infrastructure to facilitate the running of various
models at patch, landscape and continental scales. The aim is to provide
a high degree of automation and ability to readily compare model output
data for standard and scenario-based runs, as will be the capability for
sensitivity analysis. The softwareshell will also prototype a mechanism
to provide model output in a tabular inventory-like form and, where possible,
support the development of the NCAS.
The development of COINS will facilitate model
inter-comparison particularly at regional to continental scales to determine
where and why models differ in their outputs and also introduce a mechanism
to combine the most suitable models. The rigorous comparison of results
against the outputs of various international models will help support
Australia in international negotiations as these types of models are increasingly
used in carbon accounting.

Sub-project
C.1.2 Data support
Fortunately, there is an expanding range of
data sets available at the continental and point scale. However, these
data sets are not well known or readily available to all modellers and
other researchers.
We propose to initially document the location
and availability of such data sets (with emphasis on continental-scale
data) and make this meta-data available to data users across the CRC.

Sub-project
C.1.3 Public access and application tools
It is proposed that this project facilitates
the production and use of a simplified model of the Australian carbon
cycle. Such a model could be used in teaching and for public communication
of the carbon cycle.
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