March 2002

This issue:

Archives of Past Issues | Subscribe


 

CRC NEWS

THE GLOBAL CARBON CYCLE: THE SCIENCE AND POLICY OF SINKS POST-MARRAKESH
CRC Symposium held on Friday 22 March. Talks from the seminar will be available for downloading from the CRC website by the end of March.
Presentations:

  • The global carbon cycle and international science initiatives (Michael Raupach, Global Carbon Project, Australia)
  • The need for terrestrial science to underpin climate change policy (Ian Carruthers, Australian Greenhouse Office, Australia)
  • Scientific implications of COP7 (Ian Noble, CRC Greenhouse Accounting, Australia)
  • Effects of increasing atmospheric CO2 on current and future terrestrial carbon sinks (Christian Koerner, University of Basel, Switzerland)
  • The multiple factors influencing terrestrial carbon sinks (Jim Reynolds, USA replacing Dennis Ojima, NREL, Colorado State University, USA)

NB: Through the extremely kind efforts of AARNET network engineers, the CRC held its first trial webcast at this symposium. Feedback indicates that over the length of 2 1/2 hrs, the audio/video broadcast worked extremely well for those connected though a very high-speed Internet connection, was patchy at best even through a cable modem and was non-existent for those dialling up through standard 56K modems. The CRC will attempt a similar trial again using the lessons learnt last week. However, it remains the case with most cost-conscious attempts at video-conferencing, that expectations tend to outstrip available technology.

CRC POSTCARD
Ms Carrie Sonneborn, a PhD Student from Murdoch University, WA, is currently partially funded by the CRC for Greenhouse Accounting to run five Industry Roundtables in the USA during 2002-2003. These Roundtables or focus groups will provide data needed to propose a practical way forward for company action on greenhouse. This may include an industry-training package on greenhouse accounting, proposals for a useful government policy framework and ways to promote 'green consumerism' with respect to greenhouse. Information gathered at the USA Roundtables will complement that gathered from five Australian Roundtables held during 2001. (The summary report for the Australian Roundtables is at www.ecocarbon.org.au under 'papers').

NEWS

Reminders:

EU & KYOTO
In a legally binding decision, the 15 nations of the European Union agreed in early March to ratify the Kyoto Protocol on climate change by June. In doing so, the countries committed to an 8 percent total reduction in greenhouse gas emissions from 1990 levels -- although they have not yet agreed on emissions targets for each country. The E.U. hoped the action would encourage other nations to ratify the accord prior to a U.N. -sponsored summit on sustainable development, to be held in South Africa in August. To take effect, the treaty must be ratified by 55 countries, including industrialized nations responsible for at least 55 percent of total global emissions. The refusal of the U.S. to participate effectively means that virtually every other industrialized country will have to ratify the treaty.
San Francisco Chronicle, 04 March 2002
http://www.sfgate.com/cgi-bin/article.cgi?f=/news/archive/2002/03/04/international1306EST0633.DTL
BBC News, 04 Mar 2002
http://news.bbc.co.uk/hi/english/sci/tech/newsid_1854000/1854038.stm

CONTINENTAL ENERGY MARKETS & GHG EMISSIONS: THE IMPLICATIONS? (Conference
20-21 FEB)

For more information pls contact: Claudia Velasquez, CERI; Tel: +1-403-220-2380; cvelasquez@ceri.ca or

SNIPPETS: The conference was held from 20-21 February 2002 in Ottawa, Ontario, Canada. The meeting was organized by the International Institute for Sustainable Development (IISD) and the Canadian Energy Research Institute (CERI), and was sponsored by Alcan, Environment Canada, Hydro One, Natural Resources Canada, Ontario Power Generation, Petro-Canada, Shell Canada, Suncor Energy, and TransCanada. Over one hundred and thirty participants from Canada, the US and Mexico attended, representing government agencies, academic and research institutions, business and industry, and international and non-governmental organizations (NGOs). The conference presented participants with an opportunity to examine strategies and approaches to meet North America's current and future energy needs, including the option of a continental energy strategy. In considering the continent's energy needs, participants met in Plenary to hear speeches and to engage in discussions on the following issues: the US energy policy; roles of Parties with different commitments under the Kyoto Protocol and the implications for the North American Free Trade Agreement (NAFTA); innovative approaches to meeting energy needs; and implications of energy issues for development in the continent's northern regions.

BRIEFING ON US ENERGY POLICY: Participants at the conference were also briefed on the US National Energy Policy and its implementation by Larisa Dobriansky, Senior Policy Advisor at the US Department of Energy. She explained that the Policy was prompted by a growing imbalance between energy supply and demand in the US, and that it recognizes that secure and sustainable energy that is reliable and affordable is essential for human prosperity. Dobriansky highlighted the importance of taking an integrated
approach, and underscored the need for a balanced and diverse portfolio of energy sources to ensure energy security and for increasingly modernized energy infrastructure and regulations. She emphasized the importance of maintaining energy trading partnerships with Canada, and stated that the new US climate change strategy demonstrates its commitment to the objectives of the UNFCCC. In response to a question on impediments to improved energy efficiency, Dobriansky noted some regulatory obstacles, and said that industry stakeholders had expressed concerns about the US EPA's New Source Review Program (a permit program that regulates emissions released to the air from new and modified stationary sources).

SESSION THREE: THE ROLES OF PARTIES WITH DIFFERENT COMMITMENTS UNDER THE
KYOTO PROTOCOL AND IMPLICATIONS FOR NAFTA

This session, which examined the roles of parties with different commitments under the Kyoto Protocol and the implications this may have for NAFTA, was held on Wednesday afternoon. Presentations were given on the international climate change negotiations, Mexico's energy and climate change policies, and on industry and NGO perspectives. This was followed by a question-and-answer period. The session was moderated by Janine Ferretti, Executive Director of the North American Commission for Environmental
Cooperation, who drew participants' attention to last year's announcement in Quebec City that the countries of NAFTA would intensify their work on continental energy trading. Noting the recent divergence among NAFTA members' approaches on climate change, she invited speakers to comment on the path forward.

Reflecting on the session addressing the roles of Parties with different commitments under the Kyoto Protocol and implications for NAFTA, Sue Kirby, Associate Assistant Deputy Minister for the Energy Sector at Natural Resources Canada, highlighted various emerging themes, including that:climate change poses a high risk for both the economy and the environment; -there is need for a systems approach and a long-term vision and framework; the US, as a non-Party to the Protocol, will have a competitive advantage over its trading partners, and is less likely to encourage carbon reducing technologies and innovations; key decisions regarding allocation of responsibility and costs need to be resolved, particularly when the producer and consumer are based in different countries; and it may make more sense for Canada and the US to pursue partnerships in specific areas, rather than cooperate on a broad North American climate policy framework.

INTERNATIONAL NEGOTIATIONS: Paul Fauteux, Director General of the Climate Change Bureau in Canada's Environment Department, presented a government perspective on climate change negotiations, focusing on Canada's cleaner energy exports, the Kyoto mechanisms, and the second commitment period. On cleaner energy exports, he stressed the importance of this issue to Canada, but acknowledged that progress was likely to be slow, especially in light of opposition or indifference among other Parties. On the mechanisms, he highlighted the need to ensure that whatever approach the US takes to trading, this approach must be compatible with the Protocol. He discussed eligibility for trading in North America, stating that if Canada ratified and there was entry into force, it could be both a buyer and seller, while the US could only buy, and Mexico could only sell. On second commitment period targets, he said developing countries, or at least major emitters, should take on commitments. This would mean greater compatibility in the North American context, particularly if the US rejoined the Protocol.

John Dillon, Vice President of Policy and Legal Counsel with the Canadian Council of Chief Executives, presented a Canadian industry perspective on the Kyoto Protocol negotiations. He highlighted a number of concerns, including whether Canada will be able to bridge the estimated 30% gap between its current emissions situation and obligations for the first commitment period, and what impact the Protocol might have on trade and competitiveness, particularly in light of the US withdrawal. He stressed that many details have yet to be determined or clarified before a clear assessment can be made on how effectively the private sector will be able to use the Kyoto mechanisms, and on the viability of rules governing carbon sequestration.

Thomas Jacob, Senior Advisor for Global Affairs at DuPont, stressed the need for global emissions reductions while simultaneously strengthening the global economy. In this regard, he highlighted DuPont's greenhouse gas emissions reductions of over 60% since 1990. He stated that, although the targets and
timetable of the Kyoto Protocol may be overly aggressive, DuPont approves of the Protocol's market-based mechanisms and basic architecture. In addition, Jacob drew attention to concerns among industries based in the EU, Canada, and Japan regarding an unconstrained US industry, and noted
that the EU is exploring options for "border adjustment" to level the playing field, which may become a complicated issue under the World Trade Organization (WTO).


WHATS ON THE WEB

'Expert Meeting Harmonizing forest-related definitions for use by various stakeholders', held in Rome on 23-25 January 2002. Proceedings now at: http://www.fao.org/forestry/climate

US Global Change Research Program http://www.usgcrp.gov/usgcrp/new.htm
Contact: Nick Sundt, USGCRP Information & Outreach, Email: nsundt@usgcrp.gov or website: www.usgcrp.gov
Includes: *set of forest sector articles from Bioscience (Sep 2001) - from US national assessment document on climate change
*European low-ozone event reveals worrying trend. (6 Feb 2002) European Space Agency.
*Ocean Currents Slow, Causing Warmer Ocean and less CO2 Input to Atmosphere, Say NOAA Scientists. (6 Feb 2002) NOAA.
*Fewer clouds found in tropics NASA scientists discover new evidence of climate change. Press release (31 Jan 2002) from NASA Goddard Space Flight Center.

Climate Change and Sustainable Development Newsletter
American Bar Association: http://www.abanet.org/environ/committees/climatechange/newsletter/
January 2002 - Latest Edition: Articles dealing with The Marrakesh Accords , Global Petroleum Industry Approaches for Long-Term Carbon Management, Carbon Trading in the European Community, Emissions Trading and Other Climate Change Legislation - Overview and Update. More Info: Amy Royden via amyroyden@hotmail.com

One Person's "World View of Global Warming"
This is a photographic documentation of climate change by US photographer, Gary Braasch at http://www.worldviewofglobalwarming.org. The purpose of this public resource is to document field research on climate, to photograph studies and locations that do not have a lot of direct coverage.
Reactions and corrections are also of interest.

The Eurobarometer: A European Survey on Attitudes to Science and Technology at http://europa.eu.int/comm/research/press/2001/pr0612en.html Some interesting statistics about community interest in science.


NEW PUBLICATIONS

Advanced remote sensing techniques for forestry applications: a case study in Sarawak (Malaysia) by Nezry, E.; Yakam-Simen, F.; Romeijn, P.; Supit, I.; Demargne, L.; 2000. Invited paper at Multi-Conference On Systemics, Cybernetics and Informatics (SCI2000), Orlando (Fla.), 6 p., 23-26 July
2000.
Download paper http://www.treemail.nl/download/sci-00.pdf

Abstract: This paper describes that timber volumes can now be assessed from satellite images, using an operational commercial case study regarding forest concessions in Sarawak to illustrate the application of the techniques employed. This can be an important step forward in monitoring of carbon sequestration. The authors present a new technique for standing timber volume estimation based on remote sensing knowledge and forestry knowledge, which proved fairly accurate. The issues covered in the paper
are: Georeferencing in GIS environment; Pre-processing of the remote sensing data; Topography; Detection issues; Forest and Land-use inventory; Estimation of standing timber volume; Validation of standing timber volume estimation; and Conclusion and perspectives for the prevention of forest fires.

Climate Change 2001: Synthesis Report. (published 2002) from the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. Summary for Policymakers and Technical Summary (http://www.ipcc.ch)

Bush climate policy commentary by Fredric C. Menz for CICERO Center for International Climate and Environmental Research. Paper at http://www.cicero.uio.no/index_e.asp Fredric C. Menz is a Visiting
Fulbright Scholar at CICERO, Oslo, Norway, and Professor of Economics, Clarkson University, Potsdam, NY. E-mail address: fredric.menz@cicero.uio.no Menz points out that emissions intensity decreased by about 1.8 percent annually in the period 1990-1999. Thus, the US President's climate initiative - to achieve a 1.8 percent annual reduction in GHG emissions intensity over the next 10 years - corresponds exactly to what occurred during the 1990s without the policy.

Greenhouse Gas Price Scenarios for 2000-2012: Impact of Different Policy Regimes, by Matt Varilek and Nina Marenzi, IWOe Discussion Paper No. 96, Institute for Economy and the Environment (IWOe), University of St. Gallen (HSG), Switzerland. Download at http://www.iwoe.unisg.ch/IMKYM-COFIN The paper is an output of the European research and development (R&D) project titled "Implementing the Kyoto Mechanisms: Contributions by Financial Institutions" (IMKYM-COFIN). The objective of this R&D project is to develop innovative financial products that are tailored to meet the needs of participants in emerging greenhouse gas emission markets and prospective users of the Kyoto Mechanisms. The project is co-financed by the European Commission, Research Directorate-General, and the Swiss Federal Office for Education and Science. Participants are University of St. Gallen, Gerling Sustainable Development Project (German insurance company), Sanpaolo IMI (Italian bank) and Natsource-Tullett Europe (emissions and energy broker).

The Economic and Environmental Implications of the US Repudiation of the Kyoto Protocol and the Subsequent Deals in Bonn and Marrakech
by Andreas Löschel, Centre for European Economic Research, Mannheim, Germany and ZhongXiang Zhang, East-West Center, Honolulu, USA Download paper at the URL:http://papers.ssrn.com/abstract=299463

Abstract: Taking account of sinks credits as agreed in Bonn and Marrakech, this paper illustrates how market power could be exerted in the absence of the US ratification under Annex 1 trading and explores the potential implications of the non-competitive supply behavior for the international market of tradable permits, compliance costs for the remaining Annex 1 countries to meet their revised Kyoto targets, and the environmental effectiveness. Our results show that the US withdrawal from the Kyoto Protocol has had by far the greatest impact on the environmental effectiveness of the Protocol. This would lead to no real emission reduction in all remaining Annex 1 regions. As the biggest single buyer on the permit market, the absence of US ratification would significantly reduce the demand for permits.Consequently, the price of permits under Annex 1 trading would drop to zero. While all remaining Kyoto-constrained Annex 1 countries would enjoy meeting their revised Kyoto targets at zero costs, seller countries with excess supply of hot air would lose all their revenues under perfect Annex 1 trading.

Given the former Soviet Union (FSU) and the Eastern European countries (EEC) as the dominant suppliers of emissions permits on the international market, it seems likely that they would exert market power to maximize their revenues from permit sales. Depending on how market power is exerted, our results show that the overall compliance costs of all remaining Annex 1 regions in the case of FSU cooperating with EEC could reach as much as two times that in the case of only FSU acting as a monopoly. But no matter how market power is exerted, all Kyoto-constrained Annex 1 regions are better
off with emissions trading in terms of their compliance costs than with no trading at all. Moreover, curtailing permit supply by market power will cut the amount of hot air being emitted into the atmosphere by more than half and at the same time, increases Annex 1 domestic abatement efforts. Thus, the overall environmental effectiveness is increased, although it is much less under the market power scenarios examined than in the case of the ratification of all Annex 1 regions including the US.

Technology Transfer for Renewable Energy: Overcoming Barriers in Developing Countries by Gill Wilkins (co-published by the Royal Institute of International Affairs and Earthscan Publications Ltd.) More Info: sustainable-development@riia.org
Renewables offer significant investment opportunities, particularly for countries needing to rapidly develop energy supplies and infrastructure, while also mitigating emissions and climate change. The author draws on extensive case study material from Indonesia, the Philippines, Vietnam, Thailand, the South Pacific, Kenya and India, to explain the main barriers to the successful transfer of renewable energy technology, the role of key players and how the clean development mechanism of the Kyoto Protocol can be used to stimulate investment and a market for clean energy supplies.

Non-CO2 Greenhouse Gas Emissions from Developed Countries: 1990 - 2010
Download at http://www.epa.gov/ghginfo/reports or contact Elizabeth Scheehle (scheehle.elizabeth@epa.gov).
This document presents emissions and baseline projections of the non-CO2 gases from major anthropogenic sources for 38 developed countries. This report provides a consistent and comprehensive estimate of non-CO2 greenhouse gases that can be used to understand national and global contributions to climate change, and mitigation opportunities and costs. The gases included in this report are the direct greenhouse gases reported by parties to the UNFCCC: methane (CH4), nitrous oxide (N2O), and the high
global warming potential (High GWP) gases. Historical estimates are reported for 1990 and 1995, and projections of emissions in the absence of climate measures ("Business As Usual") are provided for 2000 through 2020. Historical and future trends are shown by region and by gas. The emission estimates presented in this report are derived from publicly available country-submitted estimates, when they are consistent with the Revised 1996 IPCC Guidelines for National Greenhouse Gas Inventories (IPCC, 1997).
Although this report does not incorporate the information from the Third National Communications, EPA plans to incorporate this information, as well as additional new data, and release periodically updated databases on the following website: http://www.epa.gov/ghginfo.

The Global Climate Change Regime: Taking Stock and Looking Ahead by Dr Benito Müller
Pre-print copy now available at www.wolfson.ox.ac.uk/~mueller Commissioned by the Fridtjof Nansen Institute (Oslo) for the Yearbook of International Co-Operation on Environment and Development 2002/2003, forthcoming August 2002. The focus of the FCCC negotiations to-date has been firmly on
establishing a multilateral emission mitigation regime. The article argues that not withstanding some widespread Northern misconceptions the FCCC regime is unlikely to succeed unless the key Southern (equity) concern of (sharing) human impact burdens is put firmly on its agenda for the coming years. It also suggests that the forthcoming eighth Conference of the FCCC Parties, COP-8, hosted by the Indian Government in New Delhi, presents a unique opportunity to set such a process in motion.


SEMINARS & CONFERENCES

(NSW, August 2002)
5th World Acid Sulfate Soils Conference: Sustainable management of acid sulfate soils
When: 25th-30th of August 2002 : Twin Towns Services Club and Resort, Tweed Heads,NSW,Australia. Website: http://www.out.at/acidsoil
For information please contact Ben Macdonald, Conference Director, School of Geography, University of New South Wales bennettmacdonald@bigpond.com -Researchers, land managers and legislators have become very aware of the potential environment degradation for the unsustainable use acid sulfate soils. The conference embraces four broad themes that are important in achieving sustainable management of acid sulfate soils. The conveners invite investigators from all fields of acid sulfate soil research and
management to submit an abstract(s) that fit within the scope of this conference.
1. Characteristics of acid sulfate soil hazards; 2. Management of Acid sulfate soils; 3. Planning, Legislation and Regulation; and 4. Acid Sulfate Soil Education and Communication

(Johannesburg, South Africa. 26 Aug - 4 Sept 2002)
2002 WORLD SUMMIT ON SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT:
Contact: Andrey Vasilyev, DESA; tel: +1-212-963-5949; fax: +1-212-963-4260; e-mail: vasilyev@un.org; Major groups contact: Zehra Aydin-Sipos, DESA; tel: +1-212-963-8811; fax: +1-212-963-1267; e-mail: aydin@un.org; Internet: http://www.johannesburgsummit.org/

32ND SESSION OF THE INTERNATIONAL TROPICAL TIMBER COUNCIL
The 32nd session of the ITTC. For more information contact: ITTO; tel: +81-45-223-1110; fax: +81-45-223-1111; e-mail: itto@itto.or.jp; Internet: http://www.itto.or.jp

(The Hague, the Netherlands, from 7-19 April 2002)
SIXTH CONFERENCE OF THE PARTIES TO THE CONVENTION ON BIODIVERSITY:
CBD COP-6 will take place in The COP is expected to receive reports from its subsidiary bodies, the Executive Secretary and the GEF, review the implementation of the programme of work, and focus on the following issues: forest biological diversity; invasive alien species that threaten ecosystems, habitats or species; access and benefit-sharing as related to genetic resources; and the strategic plan, national reporting and operations of the Convention. Parties are also expected to adopt a budget for the next biennium. For more information contact: CBD Secretariat; tel: +1-514-288-2220; fax: +1-514-288-6588; e-mail: secretariat@biodiv.org; Internet: http://www.biodiv.org/meetings/cop-06.asp

(The Hague, The Netherlands, March 2002)
Forest Valuation & Innovative Financing Mechanisms for conservation and sustainable management of tropical forests ,
Tropenbos International seminar 2002 Golden Tulip Bel Air http://www.tropenbos.nl/

(VICTORIA, MARCH 2002)
INTERNATIONAL CONFERENCE DISCUSSES FUTURE OF WEATHER SATELLITES
More than 100 weather satellite specialists from 20 countries met recently in Lorne, Victoria, to discuss the future of this important area of science. Conference delegates representing the organisations that launch and operate the satellites, those developing new instruments to be flown on the satellites, and those who process the data and use it. Co-chair Guy Rochard of the French weather service Meteo-France said the gathering was a highly significant and important international forum. "Much of the science
discussed here is leading-edge, and the programs we are talking about run to billions of dollars. The recommendations we will make after this meeting will have a real impact on the future plans of coordinating bodies such as the World Meteorological Organization and scientific organisations such as
NASA" Mr Rochard said. Parliamentary Secretary responsible for the Australian Bureau of Meteorology, Dr Sharman Stone, said "This is a significant conference for Australia to be hosting given our reliance on
accurate satellite data to guide forecasting and warning services, across the continent."
http://www.bom.gov.au/announcements/media_releases/ho/20020305.shtml

(USA, 25 - 27 March)
EARTH TECHNOLOGIES FORUM http://www.earthforum.com
This conference and exhibition on global climate change and ozone protection technologies and policies will be held from 25-27 March 2002 in Washington, DC. Participants will discuss current technologies and efforts to bring them into the marketplace. For more information contact: tel: +1-703-807-4052; e-mail: earthforum@alcalde-fay.com

(UK, 8-9 APRIL 2002)
Climate Change & The Built Environment
For researchers, designers and regulators to exchange information and ideas from their own countries on dealing with the great challenge of climate change and its effect on buildings, their occupants and sustainability.More Info: Tyndall Centre for CC Research - Dr Simon Torok via s.torok@uea.ac.uk

(UK, 15 - 19 April 2002)
PROGRAMME ON CLIMATE CHANGE - SCIENCE, IMPACTS AND POLICY RESPONSES
:
This event will take place from 15-19 April 2002 at Imperial College, London, UK. The five-day modular programme aims to bring a diversity of professionals together to help them understand the underlying science and the business impact of climate change and responses. For more information contact: Ulrika
Wernmark; tel: +44-20-7594-6886; fax: +44-20-7594-6883; e-mail: u.wernmark@ic.ac.uk; Internet: http://www.ad.ic.ac.uk/cpd/climate.htm

ARTICLES & PRESS RELEASES OF INTEREST

(CSIRO, March 2002)
$13M Aussie technology to fly on European satellite
More at : http://www.csiro.au/page.asp?type=mediaRelease&id=prenvisat
An instrument for measuring sea surface temperatures from space, developed jointly by Australian and UK scientists, is to be launched today aboard the European earth observation satellite ENVISAT. Measurement of global sea surface temperatures is integral to climate modelling and forecasting and
the $40 million satellite instrument will substantially boost Australia's contribution to international climate and environmental science.

(Sydney, March)
AUSTRALIAN LAUNCH OF A GHG PROTOCOL
More at www.ghgprotocol.org
A Greenhouse Gas Protocol was launched in Sydney on Monday 18 March 2002. The launch was officially opened by the NSW Minister for Energy, Hon. Kim Yeadon, MP. The launch was sponsored by SMEC Environment and the Sustainable Energy Development Authority of NSW. The Protocol will provide
Australian based companies with a comprehensive, internationally accepted, corporate greenhouse gas accounting and reporting standard. It was created through a unique multi-stakeholder partnership of businesses, NGOs, and governments over three years through the World Business Council for
Sustainable Development, Geneva and the World Resources Institute, Washington, D.C."More than 30 companies in 10 countries road tested the draft, with extensive peer reviews over three years. The resulting Greenhouse Gas Protocol sets the first international benchmark for corporate reporting applicable to different business sectors and under numerous schemes," Ms Heidi Sundin, World Business Council for Sustainable Development (WBSCD) said.

BP, Volkswagen, DuPont, IBM and Ford Motor Company were involved in the initial testing of the Protocol, with BP spokesperson Mr Colin Gomm outlining his company's experience at the launch. Mr Peter Klose, a spokesperson for the Cement Industry Federation said, "The Protocol not only provides companies with a means to track greenhouse gas emissions generated from their business operations, but also, the opportunity to clearly identify potential improvements in their emissions." According to Dr Ros Taplin of SMEC, "The Greenhouse Gas Protocol will promote convergence of greenhouse accounting practices globally. In this way the Protocol will reduce costs, improve comparability and strengthen the capacity of managers to make informed decisions on greenhouse risks and opportunities." Companies will require a robust accounting and reporting standard in which to determine their international carbon trading rights. The Greenhouse Gas Protocol has been launched in Europe and North America, and companies in these countries are already using The Greenhouse Gas Protocol for this purpose.

(ENVIRONMENT AUSTRALIA, 8 MARCH 2002)
NATIONAL LAND AND WATER RESOURCES AUDIT TO CONTINUE ( http://www.ea.gov.au/minister/env/2002/mr07mar202.html)
The Federal Coalition Government has announced that it will continue the work of the National Land and Water Resources Audit. The Federal Minister for Agriculture, Fisheries and Forestry, Mr Warren Truss, and the Minister for the Environment and Heritage, Dr David Kemp, said today they had decided the work of the Natural Heritage Trust-funded Audit should be extended beyond 30 June this year, when its work was due to have ended. The purpose of the Audit has been to provide an independent, comprehensive, nationwide appraisal of Australia's natural resources and their use.

(THE AUSTRALIAN NEWSPAPER, 4 MARCH 2002)
Owning a Mobile isn't Everything ( http://www.science.org.au/academy/media/mobile.htm )
The President of the Australian Academy of Science, Brian Anderson, puts a case for the nation's requirement for "a well developed scientific skills base and scientific infrastructure". [Featured in The Funneled Web, http://www.the-funneled-web.com, an online magazine that lobbies for recognition of science and education to Australia.]

(UniSci 11-Feb-2002)
INTERNATIONAL GROUP SEARCHES FOR MISSING CARBON SINK
http://unisci.com/stories/20021/0211024.htm

A multinational research group led by atmospheric scientists at Colorado State University has uncovered new information regarding the Earth's carbon dioxide sources and sinks. Among other results, the researchers conclude that North America may not be absorbing as much carbon dioxide as previously reported, according to a report in the current issue of Nature. Sixteen leading research teams in carbon transport modeling from the United States, Germany, France, United Kingdom, Japan and Australia are
participating in the TransCom 3 project. The group is completing a three-year study aimed at helping to resolve a controversy concerning the mysterious removal of a large amount of carbon dioxide from the Earth's atmosphere known as the missing sink. In recent years, the missing sink has partially offset the large amount of carbon dioxide -- the dominant contributor to global warming -- emitted into the Earth's atmosphere.

"Something on land in the Northern Hemisphere is sucking up carbon," said Kevin Gurney, lead author of the paper and a research associate at Colorado State. "This missing sink is not a new phenomenon, but where it is and how it works has long remained a mystery. Unraveling this mystery is essential if we are to reliably predict future levels of carbon dioxide build-up and the resultant global warming." The TransCom 3 research team agrees with previous reports that there is a large carbon dioxide sink on land in the Northern Hemisphere. However, contrary to a recent, widely cited study, the group does not believe the sink is entirely in North America. "Our research found carbon uptake over the Northern Hemisphere continents distributed relatively evenly across North America, Europe and temperate Asia," said A.
Scott Denning, assistant professor of atmospheric science at Colorado State and coordinator of the TransCom 3 project. "We found the North American sink approximately 60 percent of the size suggested in the earlier study, as well as other large carbon sinks in Europe and Asia." TransCom 3 also concluded that the southern ocean, long considered by oceanographers to be a massive carbon sink, is not as large as what has been suggested. According to the study, the ocean is taking up less carbon dioxide, and
landmass, specifically in the Northern Hemisphere, is absorbing more than previously thought.

The research team additionally forwarded two conclusions that could improve future research into carbon dioxide sources and absorption. First, prioritizing where and how to make more measurements needs to be a priority when studying the tropics due to a lack of data in those areas. Second, for more accurately studying the Northern Hemisphere, efforts need to be focused on improving scientific air-flow transport models. "If, for example, the goal is to improve the understanding of sinks in the northern continents, where the majority of us live, then the most important thing to do is to put resources toward improving air-flow models," said Denning. "However, even if you had really good models in the tropics, you would
still be out of luck because of the lack of data."

TransCom 3 combined a database of CO2 measurements at 76 sites throughout the world with global wind information to determine where carbon dioxide comes from and where it is absorbed. Through inverse modeling and a unique, unified scientific approach, the group was able to map the sources and sinks of carbon dioxide in 22 regions: 11 on land and 11 at sea. "What is so encouraging about these results is how robust they are to many of the assumptions used," said Gurney. "By enlisting the cooperation of the
worldwide carbon-modeling community, the project was less sensitive to details that plague other studies."

(ABC News, 15 Feb)
AUSTRALIA BACKS U.S. CLIMATE PLAN, DOUBTS ON KYOTO
Internet: http://abcnews.go.com/wire/World/reuters20020215_30.html

CANBERRA (Reuters) - Australia gave its backing on Friday to President Bush's new voluntary plan to combat climate change, renewing doubts that Canberra would ratify the Kyoto treaty rejected by Washington. Bush presented a voluntary plan Thursday to slow the growth of heat-trapping gases blamed for global warming in contrast to the mandatory limits sought in the 1997 Kyoto Treaty which Washington has shunned, saying it would harm the economy.

Prime Minister John Howard reiterated it was not in Australia's national interest to ratify the Kyoto pact if the United States, which emits a quarter of the world's man-made greenhouse gases, and developing nations such as China were not on board. Australia is a signatory to Kyoto but has not yet decided if it will ratify the United Nations anti-pollution treaty."We are a net exporter of energy, and unless you have the developing countries involved we would be hurt," Howard told a news conference. "Our position...it is much closer to that of the United States than the attitude of the European countries. I do think what the
president indicates in his speech will lead to an alternative to simply saying 'no' to the Kyoto Protocol, and I welcome that."

The left-leaning Australian Democrats said Australia's conservative government should not draw legitimacy for a rejection of Kyoto from Bush's alternative plan. The federal government should choose to be a team
player," spokeswoman Lyn Allison said in a statement. "Australia and the United States are already seen as global hypocrites for taking a narrow, self-interested stand on climate change."

CALL TO REJECT STAND
Australia's Foreign Minister Alexander Downer and Environment Minister David Kemp said elements of Bush's plan were consistent with Australia's views that climate change measures must be cost-effective with minimal impact on trade competitiveness. "The government will closely examine its future climate change strategy in light of the approach outlined by President Bush and developments in relation to the Kyoto Protocol," Downer and Kemp said in a joint statement. Kemp said he would visit Washington soon for climate talks then hold talks with the European Union and other countries.

Climate Action Network Australia (CANA) spokeswoman Anna Reynolds said the Bush plan would increase greenhouse gas emissions and urged Canberra to ratify Kyoto, which commits developed countries to cut emissions by an average of five percent from 1990 levels by 2012. "Emissions under Bush's plan will actually increase by 14 percent during the time period because of expected growth of GDP," Reynolds said in a statement. "Australia should reject this plan and join with the responsible industrialized world who want to avoid intensifying global warming," she said. CANA is an alliance of more than 25 regional, state and national environmental, health and community development and research groups.See also-
"CANBERRA TO REASSESS KYOTO PLAN," The Age:
http://www.theage.com.au/news/national/2002/02/16/FFXJMI3VOXC.html
"AUSTRALIA, CANADA MAY SKIP KYOTO PROTOCOL: METI OFFICIAL," Kyodo:
http://home.kyodo.co.jp/all/display.jsp?an=20020221232

(New Zealand Herald, 14 Feb)
GOVERNMENT MOVES WITH CAUTION ON KYOTO http://www.nzherald.co.nz/business/businessstorydisplay.cfm?storyID=939171&thesection=business
&thesubsection=general&thesecondsubsection&thetickercode

The [NZ] Government has signalled that policies to implement the Kyoto Protocol will recognise concerns about competitiveness and be brought in gradually. What the Government will do, to whom and how quickly will not be known until it releases its preferred policy package for consultation in April. But the national interest analysis tabled in Parliament yesterday outlines the principles that will guide climate-change policy design. One is to achieve sustainable reductions in emissions of greenhouse gases. But that has to be balanced against the need to avoid "carbon leakage" - that is, avoid policies that would drive industries with high emissions to non-Kyoto countries. That had long been the Government's position but critics of Kyoto had not taken sufficient account of it, said Climate Change Minister Pete Hodgson. Along the same lines, "policies will recognise that competitiveness and tomorrow is important for all our industries, including new entrants", the analysis says. Policy development would be incremental, adaptable, developed in close consultation with "stakeholders" and "build from low-cost policies now to policies that expose emitters to the full [carbon] price, as knowledge and certainty increase, and countries currently without emissions targets take on targets".

The analysis, which concludes that ratification would be in the national interest, goes to the foreign affairs select committee, which will take public submissions. In the end, though, the decision on whether to ratify is the Cabinet's. The Government has agreed in principle to ratification by September. Prime Minister Helen Clark told Parliament on Tuesday that the Government intended to move in step with the "broad consensus of western countries". Mr Hodgson said yesterday that did not mean waiting for the
United States or Australia to ratify. "We need as much time as possible to make the transition," he said. Implementation of measures to meet New Zealand's obligations would not occur until enough countries ratified - in effect Europe and Japan - to bring the treaty into force.

At that point many countries would be obliged to introduce policy measures and trading regimes that would allow New Zealand to gain benefits to offset the costs involved, Helen Clark said. New Zealand had plenty of time to make the transition. The treaty would not come into effect until 2008. "The overall economic impact is estimated to be of net benefit to New Zealand," she said. The national interest analysis cites economic modelling by the Australian forecaster ABARE, which concluded that Kyoto would be slightly positive for gross national product. And ratification would avoid New Zealand being seen
as a free-rider and would be consistent with its clean, green image.

CHANGES TO SUBSCRIPTION ARRANGEMENTS [e- Carbon News NOW ON WEB]
Subscribers to e-Carbon News were advised via email in January 2002 that all current list users had to re-subscribe themselves or they would no longer receive eCarbon News after the February update. The CRC list only accepts new subscribers via an online form at http://www.greenhouse.crc.org.au/crc/ecarbon/subscribe.cfm
Thank you for subscribing.