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January/February 2003
Last month Dennis Ringrose introduced himself as the CRC Communication
Manager to readers and subscribers of e-Carbon News. Sadly, Dennis
has taken ill and consequently has resigned from the CRC. We are
in the process of recruiting a new communication manager (see http://www.greenhouse.crc.org.au/crc/ecarbon/PositionCM.htm).
In other changes for the CRC Martin Schutz the Centre’s
Business Manager has also resigned, again due to health problems.
We wish both Dennis and Martin all the very best. In the meantime
thanks to Karen Mobbs for bringing this edition of eCarbon News
to you.
Chris Mitchell
CEO
In this issue:
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CRC NEWS
CRC Researcher named as member of Australia’s Science
‘Mapping’ Reference Group
Tuesday, February 11, 2003
Professor Graham Farquhar is to be a member of a new Reference
Group charged with overseeing the mapping of Australia’s science
and innovation activities across the public and private sectors.
He is one of 17 members of the Science ‘Mapping’ Reference
Group announced by the Hon Dr Brendan Nelson MP, Minister for Education,
Science and Training.
The Reference Group, to be chaired by Australia’s Chief Scientist,
Dr Robin Batterham, will play an important advisory role on the
mapping’s scope and methodology and will be responsible for
guiding the development of the draft and final reports. The complex
mapping exercise will identify key strengths and weaknesses –
highlighting those areas in Australia's science and innovation landscape
that should be maintained and developed as well as noting any gaps
which need to be addressed.
Press release: http://www.dest.gov.au/ministers/nelson/feb_03/n276_110203.htm
#
UK expert here to study how
bushfires affect climate change
CRC Media Release - 17 January 2003
Rural sector to save $110M
a year through new CRC research program
CRC Media Release - 10 December

AUSTRALIAN NEWS
Commonwealth urged to sign Kyoto treaty
From: ABC News Online
Tuesday, February 18, 2003
The Federal Government is again being urged to change its position
on the reduction of greenhouse gas emissions and sign up to the
Kyoto protocol.
A report sponsored by the New South Wales, Victorian and South
Australian governments shows the cost to the local economy of not
ratifying the agreement is higher than what it would be if Australia
commits to the reduction targets within the treaty guidelines.
New South Wales Premier Bob Carr says the Federal Government is
becoming increasingly isolated because of its decision not to ratify
the agreement.
"Business is changing its view on Kyoto, I think business
is far more enlightened than the Federal Government," he said.
The Australian Conservation Foundation
The Australian Conservation Foundation says the release of a new
report today has revealed the economic cost to Australia of not
signing the protocol.
The foundation's executive director, Don Henry, says Australia
and the US are the only two developed countries who have not signed.
"I think now that this report clearly shows that it's in our
economic and environmental interest to ratify," he said.
"One just has to assume our Federal Government is blindly
following the anti-Kyoto stance of President Bush in the US."
A spokeswoman for Federal Environment Minister David Kemp says
the report will not influence the Government's position on the protocol.
She says the Federal Government believes the protocol is deeply
flawed because it does not include many developing countries, which
are among the biggest polluters.
http://abc.net.au/news/newsitems/s786282.htm
More time needed: Qld
The Queensland Government has rebuffed calls to sign the Kyoto Protocol.
Last year Queensland Premier Peter Beattie said the situation was
not that simple - today he says nothing has changed
"It's easy to say sign up to Kyoto if you're not disadvantaged
and I know Bob Carr is a very committed environmentalist, and so
am I, and so is Steve Bracks but the two states that suffer as a
result of it are Queensland and Western Australia," he said.
"All I've asked for is time, I believe in the long run we
will comply with any Kyoto agreements."
#
Towards Sustainable Energy
CRC Association Press Release
Tuesday, February 18, 2003
Australia's future prosperity will depend on a 50 per cent increase
in energy output over the next 20 years. Scientists from the nation's
Co-operative Research Centres are working to achieve that growth
cleanly and sustainably.
Up to one million tonnes of CO2 could be buried in a saline reservoir
deep underground, as part of a national experiment to demonstrate
that it is possible to largely eliminate Australia's industrial
greenhouse emissions.
The new CRC for Greenhouse Gas Technologies (CO2CRC) is planning
a major demonstration of the large-scale disposal of CO2, to see
if it is possible to 'lock up' greenhouse gases in the sub-surface
and keep an eye on them, says Executive Director Dr Peter Cook.
"Australia has sufficient underground capacity to potentially
store our total emissions for the next 2000 years. We want to be
sure it is safe, secure, practical and economic to do so,"
he says.
Technologies to reduce greenhouse emissions from power generation
using southern Australia's vast reserves of brown coal - or lignite
- are under development at CRC for Clean Power from Lignite (http://www.cleanpower.com.au/).
"Contrary to what many people imagine, brown coal is a very
clean fuel. The problem is that it contains 60-70 per cent water
- and dealing with that requires a lot of extra energy," CRC
CEO Dr David Brockway explains.
The CRC is developing a technology for heating and squeezing the
coal which will cut the need for extra energy to evaporate the water
content by up to 90 per cent. This in turn will substantially lower
greenhouse emissions.
"This work perfectly complements the research of the CO2CRC,
and puts Australia squarely on the route to zero greenhouse emissions
from power generation," Dr Brockway says.
Remote indigenous communities will manage their own power supplies
under the Australian CRC for Renewable Energy's Bushlight Program
(http://www.bushlight.org.au/)
Bushlight is delivering tailored renewable energy - mainly solar
and some wind power - to up to 200 small communities living in remote
areas.
"We're using energy as a driver for other community goals,
such as improved health or job opportunities," says ACRE managing
director Dr Frank Reid. "We help communities to plan and manage
their own energy needs, to have control over the power supply and
usage patterns. The social side is as important as the technology,"
The technology too is world class, having been vetted in ACRE-Lab,
Australia's only facility for testing renewable energy equipment
to world standards.
A recent study shows that Australia's sustainable energy industry
now comprises more than 2,100 companies earning $3.4 billion a year,
making an overall economic contribution of $10 billion and creating
58,000 Australian jobs. Direct employment by the industry is estimated
at 17,000.
Web site: www.crca.asn.au
#
Planning for zero greenhouse emissions
CSIRO Press Release
Wednesday, February 5, 2003
Energy scientists from CSIRO are teaming up with the Central Victorian
Greenhouse Alliance (CVGA) of local organisations in a bid to eliminate
the region's net greenhouse emissions by 2020.
A major workshop, "Down with Emissions", opens today
in Bendigo to explore projects that can demonstrate ways to cut
energy costs, reduce emissions, and improve power generation and
distribution.
Full story: http://www.csiro.au/page.asp?type=mediaRelease&id=Prenergyzero
#
Robots to monitor southern ocean and climate
CSIRO Press Release
Wednesday, January 22, 2003
Australian scientists are preparing to make their largest investment
yet to monitor the engine-room of global climate, the Southern Ocean's
Antarctic Circumpolar Current.
In the next three years, a total of 44 robotic floats will be deployed
south of Australia by scientists from the CRC for Antarctic Climate
and Ecosystems and CSIRO.
Full story: http://www.csiro.au/page.asp?type=mediaRelease&id=Procean4
#
AMA calls on Government to ratify Kyoto Protocol on public
health grounds
Australian Medical Association Press Release
Thursday, December 12, 2002
The AMA has written to all Federal Parliamentarians urging them
to support the signing of the Kyoto Protocol on public health grounds.
Public health concerns – including water quality, heat related
illnesses, mosquito-borne diseases – were highlighted at the
AMA’s National Environmental Health Summit in Melbourne last
month.
AMA President, Dr Kerryn Phelps, said Australia and its region
must plan now to deal with the future health consequences of global
warming.
“Human induced climate change and its impact on environmental
health is a major emerging international health issue.” Dr
Phelps said.
“Unless we initiate action now, we will have major health
problems in the coming decades, many of which have the potential
to cripple our public health system.”
“We can expect an increase in the incidence of infectious
diseases such as Dengue fever, encephalitis and epidemic polyarthritis,
along with increased infection and illness related to contaminated
food and water.”
“Better health for Australians in the future requires immediate
action to reduce greenhouse emissions, and the best way to achieve
this is for Australia to support the Kyoto Protocol,” Dr Phelps
said.
Dr Phelp’s speech to the AMA Environmental Health Summit
on 14 November 2002: http://www.ama.com.au/web.nsf/doc/WEEN-5GA2YE

WORLD NEWS
Oh Yeah Canada
From: Grist Magazine
Wednesday, December 11, 2002
Canada's House of Commons voted overwhelmingly in favor of ratifying
the Kyoto Protocol yesterday, concluding months of rancorous debate
and paving the way for a concerted international effort to curb
emissions of climate-altering greenhouse gases.
A triumphant Prime Minister Jean Chretien, who staked a fair bit
of political capital on Kyoto, will sign Canada's official ratification
by the end of the year. Though it had no legal impact, the House
of Commons vote was an important symbolic gesture of support for
the treaty in a country where Alberta provincial leaders and segments
of the business community have vociferously opposed limits on greenhouse
gas emissions. Also yesterday, on the other side of the globe, New
Zealand ratified the protocol.
http://www.gristmagazine.com/daily/daily121102.asp
#
UNFCCC press release
BONN, December 18, 2002
Canada's ratification of the 1997 Kyoto Protocol on climate change
brings the agreement's total membership to 100.
To enter into force the Protocol now requires only the ratification
of the Russian Federation. The Russian Parliament is expected to
act within the next several months.
"Achieving the symbolic threshold of 100 ratifications demonstrates
that the Kyoto Protocol has widespread international support,"
said Joke Waller-Hunter, Executive Secretary of the United Nations
Framework Convention on Climate Change, under which the Protocol
was adopted.
"Most industrialized countries are now on board and have cemented
their commitment to reversing the historical rise in greenhouse
gas emissions that started with the Industrial Revolution. But these
countries have only 10 more years to meet their Kyoto emissions
targets - and the evidence today is that most of them still have
a great deal of work to do to reduce their greenhouse gases,"
she said.
Ms. Waller-Hunter also pointed to the large number of developing
countries that had ratified the Protocol. She said this was "a
sign of their commitment to the Protocol as an instrument of global
cooperation to address a global problem".
The Kyoto Protocol establishes a "double trigger" for
entry into force. The first trigger is ratification by 55 governments
- a requirement that was met earlier this year. The second trigger
is that the ratifying governments must include developed countries
representing at least 55% of that group's 1990 carbon dioxide emissions.
With the receipt of Canada's ratification, and that of Poland on
13 December, developed country ratifications now account for 43.7%
of 1990 CO2 emissions (as determined in 1997 when the Protocol was
adopted). Russia's 17.4% will be essential for pushing the tally
over the required 55% limit.
Japan as well as the European Union and its member states have
already ratified. Aside from Russia, ratification is also pending
in about a half dozen, mostly smaller, industrialized countries
and countries with economies in transition; all of these countries
together, however, are not sufficient for reaching the 55% mark.
Australia and the US have stated that they will not join the Protocol.
The Protocol commits developed countries to reducing their collective
emissions of six key greenhouse gases by the period 2008-2112. The
individual targets are 8% for Switzerland, most Central and East
European states, and the European Union (the EU has distributed
different rates among its member states); and 6% for Canada, Hungary,
Japan, and Poland. Russia, New Zealand, and Ukraine are to stabilize
their emissions, while Norway may increase emissions by up to 1%,
and Iceland 10%. The US had agreed to a -7 % target and Australia
to +8%.
http://unfccc.int/press/prel2002/pressrel181202.pdf
Readers are reminded that they can track the status of ratification
of the Kyoto Protocol on:
http://unfccc.int/resource/kpthermo.html
#
Credit where credit is due
From: Grist Magazine
Friday, December 6, 2002
The Kyoto Protocol on climate change has not yet gone into effect,
but the first sale of greenhouse gas credits negotiated within the
treaty's proposed framework is officially a done deal. Slovakia
(of all places) has sold emissions credits equivalent to 200,000
metric tons of carbon dioxide to a Japanese trading house, which
declined to reveal either the identity of the buyer or the value
of the deal. However, experts say the amount of CO2 in question
would have been worth $1 million if it had been sold on an emissions
market outside of the Kyoto framework. The trade in greenhouse gases
enables companies that can't reduce their emissions below specified
levels to buy credits from industries that can, or from eco-right-on
projects such as wind farms or reforestation efforts. If Kyoto is
approved, the market could reach $60 billion per year. Meanwhile,
in other global-warming news, a three-day conference in the U.S.
concluded yesterday with experts saying that the Bush administration
plan to study climate change for many more years is unlikely to
result in significant new information unless the proposal is substantially
revised and better funded.
http://www.gristmagazine.com/daily/daily120602.asp
#
Scientists Say Climate Change Threatens Biodiversity
By Dan Whipple, United Press International
Tuesday, February 18, 2003
DENVER: Climate change already is causing serious detrimental effects
on biological systems in Africa, the Andes and the oceans worldwide,
scientists studying these areas warned late Monday.
Thomas Lovejoy, president of the H. John Heinz III Center for Science,
Economics and the Environment in Washington, D.C., said there will
come a point at which carbon dioxide accumulating in the atmosphere
will cause "serious biological disruption, and the emerging
picture...suggests these disruptions will occur slightly this side
of double pre-industrial CO2 (carbon dioxide) levels."
Speaking in Denver at the annual meeting of the American Association
for the Advancement of Science, Lovejoy said that while deciphering
the impacts of climate change was no simple matter, it appeared
that ecosystems were among the most sensitive to its effects.
"There needs to be debate about the acceptable levels of carbon
dioxide in the atmosphere," he suggested.
Lovejoy later told United Press International that acceptable levels
should be set "at the rate at which ecosystems can adapt naturally."
"If there are concentrations where the ecosystem cannot adapt,
that's where you set the limit," he said.
Nonetheless, discussion about the acceptable level of greenhouse
gas concentrations is "barely on the agenda," Lovejoy
said.
Evidence of the effects climate change is having on living things
in the world's biodiversity "hotspots" is accumulating.
Scientists have identified 25 such hotspots -- areas on the planet
that contain about 40 percent of the world's species within about
1.5 percent of its land surface.
In half of the species the scientists modeled, habitat lost to
climate change in the next 50 years will be greater than all the
land lost to agricultural clearing to date.
Lara Hansen, senior scientist for the World Wildlife Fund in Washington,
pointed to a global coral-bleaching event in1998 that affected 90
percent of the world's coral; in some areas, the recovery rate has
been as low as 10 percent.
Since 1980, she noted, "We've had more bleaching events than
ever, and on a larger scale."
Corals live very close to their maximum thermal tolerance, Hansen
told UPI, and when that maximum is exceeded, the dinoflagellates
-- microscopic animals that live within the coral and one of the
chief constituents of plankton -- either die or leave the area,
taking their color with them. Dinoflagellates also provide energy
for the coral through photosynthesis, so if they are absent long
enough, the coral will die as well. "If they aren't re-colonized
by the dinoflagellates," Hansen explained, "they don't
recover."
Lee Hannah, climate change biologist for Conservation International,
also in Washington, said climate change represents a major threat
to the biodiversity of the Cape Floristic Region in South Africa.
The Cape Floristic Province is "one of the world's floral
kingdoms (but also) the smallest," Hannah said.
"In an area of only 74,000 square kilometers, 8,200 plant
species are found ...5,682 of which are found nowhere else in the
world," Hannah said.
However, at the projected levels of climate change, Hannah said,
"two-thirds of the current species will lose all their present
range -- or be forced to move tens or hundreds of kilometers --
even within double pre-industrial CO2 concentrations." Mark
Bush, of the Florida Institute of Technology in Melbourne, predicted
that the most threatened of the world's biodiversity hotspots by
climate change would be the Andes.
"We must not only conserve lands in the region," Bush
urged, "but we must also conserve climate areas."
The Andes are a complex hydrological system, he explained, in which
the cloud forest migrates upslope. If climate change forces warmer
areas upslope, then "the richest floral and faunal areas will
be compressed into narrower and narrower zones." To date, the
extinction of only one Andes species -- the golden toad of the Costa
Rican cloud forests -- has been attributed directly to global climate
change.
#
Coal fires are 'global catastrophe'
By Jonathan Amos, BBC News Online
Friday, February 14, 2003
Hundreds of coal fires are burning out of control around the world,
pumping huge quantities of carbon dioxide and pollutants into the
atmosphere.
The problem was described as a "global catastrophe" on
Thursday by researchers at the American Association for the Advancement
of Science's (AAAS) annual meeting in Denver.
They said that putting out the fires in China alone would cut CO2
emissions equivalent to the volume produced by all US automobiles
in a year.
"We need to get the word out to people to explain to them
just what a problem this is," said Glenn Stracher of East Georgia
College.
Climate change
Satellites are now being used to try to gauge the scale of the worldwide
problem. In China in particular, this is helping the authorities
detect and monitor the fires in the northern regions of the country.
The remote sensing data are being used to explore how such fires
evolve and what the best approaches might be for extinguishing them.
Curbing coal fires could be a way of mitigating the effects of
climate change by reducing CO2 emissions. Some estimates suggest
the Chinese fires could be accounting for as much as 2-3% of the
annual world emissions of CO2 from burning fossil fuels.
Full story: http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/in_depth/sci_tech/2003/denver_2003/2759983.stm
#
U.S. firms set greenhouse gas targets in Bush Plan
By Chris Baltimore, Reuters
Thursday, February 13, 2003
U.S. utilities, automakers, oil refiners, and other industries
said Wednesday they will voluntarily trim carbon dioxide emissions,
drawing praise from the Bush administration and sighs from environmentalists
who say it is not enough to reduce heat-trapping gases.
Full story: http://www.enn.com/news/2003-02-13/s_2645.asp
#
New strategies needed to tackle global warming, Britain
says
By Sue Leeman, Associated Press
Wednesday, February 12, 2003
LONDON -- Britain's climate is set to heat up faster than at any
time in the past 10,000 years, thanks to record global temperatures
and soaring emissions of greenhouse gases, the government warned
Tuesday.
Full story: http://www.enn.com/news/2003-02-12/s_2626.asp
#
Squirrels show genetic response to warming: Canadian study
From: CBC News Online
Wednesday, February 12, 2003
EDMONTON - Furry red squirrels in the Yukon are breeding earlier
in the season. Researchers say it's living proof that mammals are
changing their genetic makeup in response to global climate change.
University of Alberta biology Prof. Stan Boutin has been studying
the DNA and mating habits of 5,000 female red squirrels that were
tagged in southwest Yukon.
Over 10 years, his team found that as spring came earlier, so did
the squirrels' litters. They now give birth three weeks earlier
than previous records.
Boutin said the change in population structure of wild animals
is a genetic response to an unnatural pressure.
"We've been the first to show that this is a genetic change,
along with behavioural changes, and not just behavioural change,"
said Boutin.
The genetic component is what sets his research apart from earlier
studies on how mammals have responded to global climate change.
Full story:
http://archives.cbc.ca/
http://cbc.ca/storyview/CBC/2003/02/12/squirrels_climate030212
#
A fading green hope for climate
By Betsy Carpenter, U.S. News & World Report
Monday, February 10, 2003
It was a comforting dream while it lasted: Carbon dioxide spewed
into the air from tailpipes and smokestacks would speed up the growth
of forests. The forests in turn would store the carbon in wood and
soil, staving off climate change. The theory even undergirded the
Kyoto Protocol, which allows countries to meet greenhouse gas targets
by planting trees as well as by trimming industrial emissions. But
the latest research has delivered an unpleasant wake-up call.
Plants need carbon dioxide for photosynthesis and growth, so it
wasn't unreasonable to imagine that rising carbon dioxide levels
would act as a planetary fertilizer. In 1996, a team of researchers
led by biogeochemist William Schlesinger of Duke University began
testing the theory. They pumped tons of carbon dioxide daily from
towers rising over an experimental forest of loblolly pines outside
Chapel Hill, N.C. Meters measured gases entering and leaving the
pine needles; bands on the tree trunks assessed their month-to-month
growth. The initial results were reassuring: When the researchers
increased ambient levels of the gas by about 50 percent, to levels
expected by midcentury, tree growth jumped by up to 25 percent.
But the longer they studied the forest, the more complicated the
picture looked. For starters, the growth spurt lasted just four
years. Later, the trees settled back to growing only about 6 percent
faster than their neighbors. "The trees quickly run down key
nutrients in the soil," explains Schlesinger. Trees grown in
carbon-dioxide-enriched air also compensated by pumping more of
the carbon down through their roots to microbes in the soil. Instead
of storing the carbon in the soil as humus, these organisms released
much of it back into the air as carbon dioxide.
After seven years amid the loblolly pines, Schlesinger has concluded
that we can't rely on the forests of the future to store our excess
carbon dioxide. "I would count on nothing," he says flatly.
To some scientists, that's an argument for taking matters into our
own hands and looking for ways to bury the gas. To Schlesinger,
though, it underscores the hazards of tinkering with natural systems.
He thinks that the best solution to global warming is to burn less
coal, oil, and natural gas. "Rather than trying to gather up
marbles that have spilled, let's not spill 'em in the first place."
#
3 States will sue EPA over emissions
By David Abel, The Boston Globe
Friday, January 31, 2003
Arguing that the Bush administration is jeopardizing the health
of its residents and violating clean-air laws by failing to regulate
carbon dioxide emissions, attorneys general from Massachusetts,
Maine, and Connecticut yesterday announced they are suing the US
Environmental Protection Agency.
In the first suit of its kind filed by state governments, Attorney
General Thomas F. Reilly and his colleagues, Richard Blumenthal
of Connecticut and Steven Rowe of Maine, argue that carbon dioxide
should be added to the list of pollutants regulated under the Clean
Air Act. Carbon dioxide, a gas that occurs naturally but is also
emitted by burning fossil fuels, is the biggest contributor to global
warming.
In a seven-page letter to EPA administrator Christine Todd Whitman,
the attorneys general argued that the agency is legally obliged
to add carbon dioxide to its list of regulated air pollutants. They
gave her a 60-day notice of their intent to sue.
''Carbon dioxide emissions will likely cause or contribute to wide-ranging,
adverse changes to just about every aspect of the environment, public
health and welfare throughout the Northeast,'' the attorneys general
wrote in their letter.
EPA officials declined to comment yesterday.
The suit, based on a 1976 precedent-setting case, was announced
only two days after President Bush called for action on his ''Clear
Skies'' initiative during his State of the Union address. The effort
promises mandatory reductions in three power-plant pollutants, but
not carbon dioxide.
If passed by Congress, Clear Skies would reduce emissions of mercury,
sulfur dioxide, and nitrogen oxide by 70 percent over the next 15
years. The pollutants are blamed for thousands of premature deaths
each year and contribute to haze across the country.
The ''US Climate Action Report 2002,'' an EPA report sent to the
United Nations, projects that greenhouse-gas emissions, or carbon
dioxide produced from the burning of fossil fuels, will increase
43 percent by 2020.
''In the face of continued inaction, we, at the state level, have
no choice but to use the remedies available to us to fill the void
left at the federal level,'' Reilly said. ''We need to begin tackling
this problem today.''
In Massachusetts, lawmakers have passed legislation that requires
carbon dioxide reductions by power plants. In New Hampshire, lawmakers
have adopted ''cap and trade'' legislation to cut emissions. Last
summer, California's Legislature passed a bill to achieve the ''maximum
feasible'' reductions of carbon dioxide emissions from vehicles.
#
Senators McCain & Lieberman Launch Bi-Partisan Attack
on Global Warming
From: Natural Resources Defense Council
Tuesday, January 7, 2003
WASHINGTON, D.C. — Senators John McCain (R-AZ) and Joseph
Lieberman (D-CT) are introducing comprehensive, market-based legislation
tomorrow to reduce global warming pollution throughout the U.S.
economy. The McCain/Lieberman bill is the broadest in a series of
Congressional efforts to control carbon dioxide and other heat-trapping
pollutants, and reflects growing political concern within both parties
about the global warming issue.
The legislation follows news that 2002 was the second warmest year
ever recorded (see press release on the World Meteorological Organization's
website). Two studies published in this week's issue of the journal
Nature show that global warming is already affecting ecosystems
around the world.
"Leaders in both parties are recognizing public demand for
action on global warming," said David Doniger, climate center
policy director at NRDC (the Natural Resources Defense Council).
"McCain and Lieberman are pressing forward with real, market-based
solutions even as the White House continues giving the biggest polluters
a free pass."
The McCain/Lieberman bill sets a nationwide cap limiting pollution
from major sources in the industrial, commercial, electricity, and
transportation fuel sectors, which together are responsible for
nearly 80 percent of U.S. emissions. Companies must reduce their
own emissions, or purchase emissions allowances from others. Starting
in 2010, emissions from these sectors would be capped at 2000 levels.
In 2016, the cap would be reduced to 1990 levels (the target level
in the Rio climate treaty signed by the first President Bush and
ratified by the Senate in 1992).
The new measure complements the Clean Power Act sponsored last
year by Sen. James Jeffords (I-VT) and nearly two-dozen senators
of both parties to clean up carbon dioxide and other dangerous pollutants
from U.S. power plants. That bill will be reintroduced in the new
Congress shortly.
"Sponsors of these bills deserve great credit for genuinely
tackling global warming, in contrast to the administration's smoke
and mirrors," Doniger said. "Senator McCain's leadership
opens the door for Republicans to take a fresh look at this most
critical environmental challenge."
The Natural Resources Defense Council is a national, nonprofit
organization of scientists, lawyers and environmental specialists
dedicated to protecting public health and the environment. Founded
in 1970, NRDC has more than 500,000 members nationwide, served from
offices in New York, Washington, Los Angeles and San Francisco.
Web site: http://www.nrdc.org
#
Scientists question climate change, malaria link
Thursday, December 12, 2002
LONDON — Climate change could be causing more than higher
temperatures; it may also be helping to fuel a rise in malaria in
East Africa, scientists said Wednesday.
Cases of the mosquito-borne disease that kills about 3,000 people
a day around the world have surged in parts of the region during
recent decades. Earlier research had suggested the upsurge was due
to drug resistance and population growth, and not global warming.
But scientists in the United States and Britain say it may not
be just a coincidence that the rise in malaria parallels East African
warming trends.
Full story: http://enn.com/news/wire-stories/2002/12/12122002/reu_49165.asp
#
Global Analysis Finds Nearly Half The Earth Is Still Wilderness
Many Areas, Including North America's Deserts, Under Severe
Threat
From: Conservation International
Wednesday, December 4, 2002
WASHINGTON, DC - According to the most comprehensive global analysis
ever conducted, wilderness areas still cover close to half the Earth's
land, but contain only a tiny percentage of the world's population.
More than 200 international scientists contributed to the analysis,
which will be published in the book, Wilderness: Earth's Last Wild
Places, (University of Chicago Press, 2003).
The 37 wilderness areas identified in the book represent 46 percent
of the Earth's land surface, but are occupied by just 2.4 percent
of the world's population, excluding urban centers. Nine of the
wilderness areas fall, at least in part, within the United States.
Although the wilderness areas are still largely intact, they are
increasingly threatened by population growth, encroaching agriculture
and resource extraction activities. Barely 7 percent of the areas
currently enjoy some form of protection.
Nineteen of the wilderness areas have remarkably low population
densities - an average of less than one person per square kilometer.
Excluding urban centers, these 19 areas represent 38 percent of
the Earth's land surface, but hold only 0.7 percent of the planet's
population.
"These very low density areas represent a landmass equivalent
to the six largest countries on Earth combined - Russia, Canada,
China, the United States, Brazil and Australia - but have within
them the population of only three large cities, a truly remarkable
finding," said co-author Russell Mittermeier, President of
Conservation International. "It's good news that we still have
these large tracts of land largely intact and uninhabited, but these
areas are increasingly under threat."
The large-format, 576-page book depicts rare species and remarkable
places in more than 500 breathtaking color photographs that accompany
detailed information regarding the habitat, species and cultural
diversity of each wilderness area. The analysis was mainly carried
out over the past two years by Conservation International's Center
for Applied Biodiversity Science with support from the Global Conservation
Fund.
The wilderness areas include several diverse habitats, ranging
from Southern Africa's Miombo-Mopane Woodlands, with the world's
largest remaining population of African elephants, to the Sonoran
and Baja Californian Deserts of Arizona, California and Mexico,
with their Gila woodpeckers and giant cacti, to Amazonia's rainforests,
teeming with biodiversity including 30,000 endemic plant species
and 122 endemic primate species and subspecies.
To qualify as "wilderness," an area has 70 percent or
more of its original vegetation intact, covers at least 10,000 square
kilometers (3,861 square miles) and most have fewer than five people
per square kilometer.
"Wilderness areas are major storehouses of biodiversity, but
just as importantly, they provide critical ecosystem services to
the planet, including watershed maintenance, pollination and carbon
sequestration," said Gustavo Fonseca, Executive Director of
CI's Center for Applied Biodiversity Science. "As international
debates on climate change and water security continue, these wilderness
areas take on even greater importance."
Only five wilderness areas are considered "high-biodiversity
wilderness areas," because they contain at least 1,500 endemic
vascular plant species, meaning they are found nowhere else in the
world. The five areas are Amazonia, the Congo Forests of Central
Africa, New Guinea, the North American Deserts and the Miombo-Mopane
Woodlands and Grasslands of Southern Africa.
Web site: http://www.conservation.org/xp/CIWEB/home

PUBLICATIONS - Highlights from recent
literature
McNeil, B. I., R. J. Matear, et al. (2003). “Anthropogenic
CO2 uptake by the ocean based on the global chlorofluorocarbon data
set.” Science
299(5604): 235-239.
In this work, environmental concentrations of CFC are used
in an innovative way to estimate land-ocean partitioning in the
CO2 flux. The results suggest that many models are overestimating
the ocean flux, and hence, by corollary, are underestimating the
terrestrial flux.
Abstract
We estimated the oceanic inventory of anthropogenic carbon dioxide
(CO2) from 1980 to 1999 using a technique based on the global chlorofluorocarbon
data set. Our analysis suggests that the ocean stored 14.8 petagrams
of anthropogenic carbon from mid-1980 to mid-1989 and 17.9 petagrams
of carbon from mid-1990 to mid-1999, indicating an oceanwide net
uptake of 1.6 and 2.0 +/- 0.4 petagrams of carbon per year, respectively.
Our results provide an upper limit on the solubility-driven anthropogenic
CO2 flux into the ocean, and they suggest that most ocean general
circulation models are overestimating oceanic anthropogenic CO2
uptake over the past two decades. [References: 30]
#
Melillo, J. M., P. A. Steudler, et al. (2002). “Soil
warming and carbon-cycle feedbacks to the climate system.”
Science
298(5601): 2173-2176.
Many will recall the controversy following a Nature paper by
Giardina & Ryan in 2000 that concluded that there was not a
strong relation between temperature and soil respiration. In that
work, they argued that it was only the labile soil C that was sensitive
to temperature. Melillo and colleagues have tested this proposition
experimentally and found much the same thing, i.e only the labile
C was sensitive to changes in temperature.
Abstract
In a decade-long soil warming experiment in a mid-latitude hardwood
forest, we documented changes in soil carbon and nitrogen cycling
in order to investigate the consequences of these changes for the
climate system. Here we show that whereas soil warming accelerates
soil organic matter decay and carbon dioxide fluxes to the atmosphere,
this response is small and short-lived for a mid-latitude forest,
because of the limited size of the labile soil carbon pool. We also
show that warming increases the availability of mineral nitrogen
to plants. Because plant growth in many mid-latitude forests is
nitrogen-limited, warming has the potential to indirectly stimulate
enough carbon storage in plants to at least compensate for the carbon
losses from soils. Our results challenge assumptions made in some
climate models that lead to projections of large long-term releases
of soil carbon in response to warming of forest ecosystems. [References:
17]
#
Shaw, M. R., E. S. Zavaleta, et al. (2002). “Grassland
responses to global environmental changes suppressed by elevated
CO2.” Science
298(5600): 1987-1990.
Factoring out, is something policy makers want, and hence,
scientists, have tried to do. The basic idea is to try and separate
a C sink into different terms (i.e. factor them out) to factor out
the so-called free ride (e.g. increased C sink from extra atmospheric
CO2, etc.). The enormous difficultly of this task has been highlighted
by work in a Californian grassland showing that while CO2 alone
did stimulate NPP, CO2 in combination with other factors did not.
Abstract
Simulated global changes, including warming, increased precipitation,
and nitrogen deposition, alone and in concert, increased net primary
production (NPP) in the third year of ecosystem-scale manipulations
in a California annual grassland. Elevated carbon dioxide also increased
NPP, but only as a single-factor treatment. Across all multifactor
manipulations, elevated carbon dioxide suppressed root allocation,
decreasing the positive effects of increased temperature, precipitation,
and nitrogen deposition on NPP. The NPP responses to interacting
global changes differed greatly from simple combinations of single-factor
responses. These findings indicate the importance of a multifactor
experimental approach to understanding ecosystem responses to global
change. [References: 38]
#
House, J. I., I. C. Prentice, et al. (2002). “Maximum
impacts of future reforestation or deforestation on atmospheric
CO2.” Global
Change Biology 8(11): 1047-1052.
So how much difference can C sequestration actually make on
the global atmospheric CO2? House and colleagues calculate that
at best about 30 ppm.
Abstract
There is scope for land-use changes to increase or decrease CO2
concentrations in the atmosphere over the next century. Here we
make simple but robust calculations of the maximum impact of such
changes. Historical land-use changes (mostly deforestation) and
fossil fuel emissions have caused an increase in atmospheric concentration
of CO2 of 90 ppm between the pre-industrial era and year 2000. The
projected range of CO2 concentrations in 2100, under a range of
emissions scenarios developed for the IPCC, is 170-600 ppm above
2000 levels. This range is mostly due to different assumptions regarding
fossil fuel emissions. If all of the carbon so far released by land-use
changes could be restored to the terrestrial biosphere, atmospheric
CO2 concentration at the end of the century would be about 40-70
ppm less than it would be if no such intervention had occurred.
Conversely, complete global deforestation over the same time frame
would increase atmospheric concentrations by about 130-290 ppm.
These are extreme assumptions; the maximum feasible reforestation
and afforestation activities over the next 50 years would result
in a reduction in CO2 concentration of about 15-30 ppm by the end
of the century. Thus the time course of fossil fuel emissions will
be the major factor in determining atmospheric CO2 concentrations
for the foreseeable future. [References: 33]
#
Bernoux, M., V. Eschenbrenner, et al. (2002). “LULUCF-based
CDM: too much ado for ... a small carbon market.” Climate
Policy 2(4): 379-385
On a similar theme, Bernoux and colleagues have concluded that
the C market from CDM (clean development mechanism) activities 2000-2012
will likely be very small.
Abstract
The Bonn agreement reached in July at the sixth conference of the
parties (COP) to the FCCC states "that for the first commitment
period, the total of additions to and subtractions from the assigned
amount of a party resulting from eligible LULUCF activities under
Article 12 (i.e. CDM), shall not exceed 1% of base-year emissions
of that party, times five". The most probable size of this
LULUCF-CDM market is analyzed in light of each Annex I party's actual
and projected emissions and policies. Results show that the market
size would be only about 110 Mt CO2 eq. for 2000-2012, representing
a maximum global market value of about US$ 876 million. (C) 2002
Elsevier Science Ltd. All rights reserved. [References: 11]

COMING EVENTS
Remember the CRC for Greenhouse Accounting e-Carbon Calendar
on:
http://www.greenhouse.crc.org.au/gcec/
E-mail Mario Manzano (Mario.Manzano@greenhouse.crc.org.au)
if you wish to have your conference listed.
Australasian Emissions Trading Forum (AETF) Seminar
"National Emissions Trading? Responding to the COAG Energy
Market Review Recommendations"
Australian Stock Exchange, Sydney - 12 March 2003
The recent COAG Review of the Australian Energy Market (The 'Parer'
Review) has recommended that a national greenhouse gas emissions
trading scheme be introduced as soon as possible. This seminar will
discuss a range of issues that arise from this recommendation including
policy design issues, sectoral impacts, international linkages and
opportunities, complementary policies, energy sector responses and
overseas experience. Expert speakers are from:
- Australian Stock Exchange
- Australian Greenhouse Office
- ACIL Tasman Consulting
- Australian Chamber of Commerce and Industry (ACCI)
- Electricity Supply Assoc. of Aust. (ESAA)
- E3 Consulting
- NSW Cabinet Office
- Energetics
- Baker & McKenzie.
Information: http://www.aetf.net.au/topics.html?DocumentName=Events.html
The CRC for Greenhouse Accounting is a sponsor of the Australian
Emissions Trading Forum.
SUSTAIN 2003 - THE WORLD SUSTAINABLE ENERGY EXHIBITION
& CONFERENCE: This event will be held from 13-15 May
2003 in Amsterdam, the Netherlands. For more information contact:
Marc Sterel; tel: +31-20-549-1212; fax: + 31-20-549-1889; e-mail:
sustain2003@rai.nl; Internet:
http://www.sustain2003.com
INTERNATIONAL CONFERENCE ON ENERGY AND THE ENVIRONMENT:
This Conference will take place from 22-24 May 2003 in Shanghai,
China. Organized by the University of Shanghai for Science and Technology
and George Washington University, this Conference aims to provide
an international forum for discussing clean city energy and related
topics. For more information contact: Liu Daoping; tel: +86-21-6568-9564;
fax: +86-21-6568-0843; e-mail: dpliu@online.sh.cn;
Internet: http://www.gwu.edu/%7Eeem/ICEE/firstpagenew.htm
UNFCCC SB-18: This meeting will convene from 1-12
June 2003 in Bonn, Germany. The UNFCCC Subsidiary bodies will meet
to continue negotiations on the institutional and implementation
aspects of the UNFCCC and Kyoto Protocol. For more information contact:
UNFCCC Secretariat; tel: +49-228-815-1000; fax: +49-228-815-1999;
e-mail: secretariat@unfccc.int;
Internet: http://www.unfccc.int
INTERNATIONAL SOLAR ENERGY SOCIETY SOLAR WORLD CONGRESS
2003: This Congress will convene from 14-19 June 2003 in
Göteborg, Sweden. The Congress' scientific programme addresses
financial, environmental and policy issues relating to solar energy.
There will also be three thematic days covering Solar Buildings,
Solar Thermal and Solar Electricity. For more information contact:
ISES; tel: +46-31-81-8220; fax: +46-31-81-8225; e-mail: ISES2003@gbg.congrex.se;
Internet: http://www.congrex.com/ISES2003/
THE THIRD WORLD CONFERENCE ON CLIMATE CHANGE:
This Conference will take place from 29 September-3 October 2003
in Moscow, Russia. The Conference aims to address key scientific
issues and policy responses to the problem of climate change. For
more information contact: Conference Secretariat; tel: +95-252-0708;
fax: +95-252-0708; e-mail: wccc2003@mecom.ru;
Internet: http://www.meteo.ru/wccc2003/econc.htm
UNFCCC COP-9: The ninth Conference of the Parties
to the UN Framework Convention on Climate Change will convene from
1-12 December 2003 in Milan, Italy. For more information contact:
UNFCCC Secretariat; tel: +49-228-815-1000; fax: +49-228-815-1999;
e-mail: secretariat@unfccc.int;
Internet: http://www.unfccc.int/.

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